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This text first appeared in West Level’s Fashionable Warfare Institute.
We simply accomplished the fifth week of our new nationwide safety class at Stanford – Know-how, Innovation and Nice Energy Competitors. Joe Felter, Raj Shah and I designed the category to cowl how expertise will form all the weather of nationwide energy (America’s affect and footprint on the world stage).
In class 1, we discovered that nationwide energy is the mixture of a rustic’s diplomacy, data/intelligence, its army capabilities, financial power, finance, intelligence, and legislation enforcement. This “entire of presidency method” is thought by the acronym DIME-FIL.
Class 2 targeted on China, the U.S.’s main nice energy competitor. China is utilizing all components of nationwide energy: diplomacy (tender energy, alliances, coercion), data/ intelligence, its army would possibly and financial power (Belt and Highway Initiative) in addition to exploiting Western finance and expertise. China’s purpose is to problem and overturn the U.S.-led liberal worldwide order and exchange it with a neo-totalitarian mannequin.
The third class targeted on Russia, which since 2014 has asserted itself as a competing nice energy. We discovered how Russia pursues safety and financial pursuits in parallel with its ideological goals. At occasions, these goals complement one another. At different occasions they conflict, as Russian coverage is run by Vladimir Putin and his political establishments.
The fourth class shifted our focus to the influence business applied sciences have on DIME-FIL. The primary expertise we examined had been semiconductors, the oil of the twenty first century. The U.S. depends on TSMC, situated in Taiwan, for its most superior logic chips. That is problematic as China claims Taiwan is a province of China.
Right now’s class: Synthetic Intelligence / Machine Studying
Meet up with the category by studying our intro to the category, and summaries of Lessons 1, 2, 3 and 4
Required Readings
Introduction to AI
The AI Arms Race: Reality or Fiction?
China’s AI Technique
- Jeffrey Ding, “China’s Present Capabilities, Insurance policies, and Industrial Ecosystem in AI” Testimony earlier than the U.S.-China Financial and Safety Assessment Fee Listening to on Know-how, Commerce, and Navy-Civil Fusion: China’s Pursuit of Synthetic Intelligence, New Supplies, and New Power, June 7, 2019.
- Helen Toner, “Know-how, Commerce, and Navy-Civil Fusion: China’s Pursuit of Synthetic Intelligence, New Supplies, and New Power” Testimony earlier than the U.S.-China Financial and Safety Assessment Fee, June 7, 2019.
- Ryan Fedasiuk, Jennifer Melot, Ben Murphy, “Harnessed Lightning, How the Chinese language Navy is Adopting Synthetic Intelligence Middle for Safety and Rising Know-how (CSET)
Russian AI Technique
US AI Technique
Obama Administration
Trump Administration
Biden Administration
Different AI and Nationwide Safety Sources
Studying Task Questions:
Decide one of many under questions and reply in roughly 100 phrases, based mostly on the required readings. Please word that this project will probably be graded and rely in the direction of course participation.
- How would you characterize the geopolitical AI Arms Race? Is an “arms race” the best lens by which to know this phenomenon, or is there one other method to higher perceive nice energy competitors within the AI area?
- Can the U.S. study any classes from China’s AI technique?
Class 5 – Visitor Audio system
Our audio system for our fifth class had been Mike Brown, Nand Mulchandani and Jacqueline Tame.
Mike Brown is the director of the Protection Innovation Unit (DIU) – a Division of Protection group that contracts with business firms to resolve nationwide safety issues. Beforehand Mike was the CEO of Symantec and Quantum.
Nand Mulchandani is the Chief Know-how Officer of the Joint Synthetic Intelligence Middle (JAIC). The JAIC is the focus of the Division of Protection AI technique.
Jacqueline Tame was the previous Performing Deputy Director of the JAIC and the architect of the JAIC “Gamechanger,” an AI-driven Coverage Evaluation Device.
Mike Brown led off the session with an outline of the Protection Innovation Unit (DIU).
If you happen to can’t see Mike Brown’s Protection Innovation Unit presentation click on right here.
Key takeaways from Mike’s discuss had been that 1) 50 years in the past defense-related R&D made up 36% of world R&D. Right now, defense-related R&D is 4%. Key applied sciences wanted by protection at the moment are made by business firms (5G, AI, biotech, quantum, entry to house, batteries, and so on.) 2) The highest tech firms (Fb, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple) outspend U.S. prime contractors 11 to 1 in R&D ($70.5B versus $6.2B.)
DIU’s function is to seek out after which funnel business expertise into the DoD by prototyping, transitioning, and scaling options. They’ve (by DoD requirements) an especially quick pipeline from drawback curation, to evaluating and choosing firms, then prototyping tasks and inserting them into DoD applications. AI/MLis likely one of the six core areas DIU focuses on (together with house, autonomy, superior vitality and supplies, cyber and human programs.) DIU AI/ML has three traces of effort: machine Studying predictions, huge information evaluation, enhanced choice making.
Nand Mulchandani described the function and the initiatives of the JAIC. One specifically, Gamechanger, was conceived and run by Jacqueline Tame.
Gamechanger makes use of AI to deal with an issue solely a authorities may create. The DoD and federal laws have 10’s of hundreds of insurance policies, legal guidelines, laws that inform decision-makers what they will or can’t do. These exist elsewhere on completely different networks and alter nearly each day. Now you can merely sort a pure language question that asks, “Do I’ve the authority do x?” Or, “How should purchase this merchandise shortly?” and so on.
Lecture 5
If you happen to can’t see the slides, click on right here
Our first dialogue at school (Slide 7) was whether or not Nicholas Chaillan’s (the primary Air Power Chief Software program Officer) declare that we now have already misplaced the AI battle to China was right.
Slides 9-14 kicked off the dialogue of the geopolitical implications of AI. Given each China and Russia have made a AI a nationwide effort, how will AI influence all facets of DIME (Diplomatic, Intelligence, Navy, and Financial) and nationwide energy? What are the impacts of AI created deep fakes? AI automating picture recognition of satellite tv for pc information? AI creating optimum ideas of operations? AI-tuned cyber-attacks? AI cyber safety? AI sensible/predicative upkeep? and so on. The place will we first see its impacts? What’s going to our response be?
Class Dialogue Questions: (Slide 15)
- How would you characterize the strengths and weaknesses of the U.S.’s AI Technique?
- How would you advise the Biden Administration to pursue an AI Technique?
Subsequent week: Autonomy and Unmanned Programs
Classes Realized
- AI and machine studying is a important expertise that may influence all facets of DIME (Diplomatic, Intelligence, Navy, and Financial) and nationwide energy
- A lot of the superior work in AI/ML is going on in business firms and universities not the DoD
- China and Russia have made AI and machine studying nationwide priorities
- The Protection Innovation Unit (DIU) exists to seek out after which funnel business expertise like AI/ML into the DoD
- The Joint Synthetic Intelligence Middle (JAIC) is the focus of the Division of Protection AI technique
Filed beneath: Know-how Innovation and Nice Energy Competitors |
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