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HomeEconomics2:00PM Water Cooler 9/22/2022 | bare capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 9/22/2022 | bare capitalism


By Lambert Strether of Corrente

Chook Track of the Day

Italian Sparrow, Castello di Riomaggiore, Liguria, Italy. “Gathering in giant tree to roost.” My favourite sparrow sound, certainly one in every of my favourite sounds.

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Politics

“However what’s authorities itself, however the biggest of all reflections on human nature?” –James Madison, Federalist 51

“Right here’s meals for thought, had Ahab time to assume; however Ahab by no means thinks; he solely feels, feels, feels” –Herman Melville, Moby Dick

“You may’t actually mud for vomit.” Nigel Tufnel, That is Spinal Faucet

Capitol Seizure

“Ginni Thomas, spouse of Supreme Court docket justice, to reply Jan. 6 committee questions – lawyer” [Reuters]. “‘I can affirm that Ginni Thomas has agreed to take part in a voluntary interview with the Committee,’ Mark Paoletta, an lawyer for Thomas, mentioned in an e mail, confirming an earlier CNN report. ‘As she has mentioned from the outset, Mrs. Thomas is raring to reply the Committee’s inquiries to clear up any misconceptions about her work regarding the 2020 election,’ he wrote. A lawyer for Thomas has mentioned beforehand Thomas had no function within the Jan. 6 assault and by no means mentioned election litigation technique with [Pence advisor John] Eastman.”

Biden Administration

“Biden approves catastrophe declaration for hurricane-ravaged Puerto Rico” [NBC]. “About 41% of all water service clients, or over 520,000, nonetheless didn’t have water entry as of Wednesday morning, in accordance with Puerto Rico’s Water and Sewage Authority. A bigger variety of Puerto Ricans additionally stay with out electrical energy.”

2022

* * *

“Notes on the State of the Primaries: Sept. 21, 2022” [Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball]. “2022 was the primary election cycle since 1998 the place no incumbent Senators or governors who ran for reelection have been denied renomination. Although there was significantly extra turnover on the Home degree, over 96% of members who’re looking for one other time period made it by way of the first part (we’re assuming that every one 6 members of Louisiana’s delegation, who all have protected seats, will finally prevail).”

AZ: “Kelly main Masters by 12 factors in Arizona Senate race: ballot” [The Hill]. “Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) is main his Republican challenger Blake Masters by a 12-point margin within the race to carry his seat in November, in accordance with a brand new ballot. An Ohio Predictive Insights (OHPI) ballot launched Wednesday discovered that Kelly is backed by 47 p.c of probably voters, whereas Masters has assist from 35 p.c. Libertarian Marc Victor acquired assist from 6 p.c of these surveyed, whereas 12 p.c mentioned they have been undecided.” • I’m wondering if the DNC is funding the libertarian….

GA: “Opinion | Is Stacey Abrams Actually a Political Star?” [Politico]. “The narrative about her has been that, unbowed and undefeated, she’s combating a righteous battle towards the voter suppression that denied her her rightful victory the primary time round, and — as a charismatic determine of unbounded expertise — she’s heading for larger and higher issues than slim defeats in state-wide elections. Because it occurs, she could also be headed for an excellent much less slim defeat in precisely the identical state-wide election. Come November, she could look extra like Beto O’Rourke than Barack Obama. There’s little doubt that Abrams is a proficient organizer whose voter registration and turn-out efforts helped transfer the needle in Georgia. She additionally has performative potential, and the enthusiastic assist of a cadre of loyalists — a class of people who seemingly contains everybody who does a profile of her. New York Journal questioned within the headline of its 2019 profile if she’d run for governor, senator, vp or president — the world was her oyster. Vogue requested, “Can Stacey Abrams save American democracy?” A Washington Put up Journal piece about her famously included an arty, moody image of her staring off into the gap sporting what seemed just like the cape of a superhero.” • Gad. I assume Neera Tanden arrange these tales….

2024

“5 eventualities that would assist Joe Biden” [The Hill]. “‘Look, my intention as I mentioned to start with is that I might run once more,’ Biden mentioned in an interview with ’60 Minutes’ that aired Sunday. ‘Nevertheless it’s simply an intention. However is it a agency choice that I run once more? That is still to be seen.’” • The eventualities depend upon varied ranges of efficiency by Democrats within the midterms.

“Trump vs. DeSantis in 2024? USA TODAY/Suffolk ballot reveals Florida Republicans want their governor” [USA Today]. “In a hypothetical 2024 presidential major within the Sunshine State, DeSantis leads Trump 48%-40%. That’s a reversal from a ballot of Florida in January, when Trump led DeSantis 47%-40%.”

Democrats en Déshabillé

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Social gathering (“the Democrat Social gathering is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated submit, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “stay” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Social gathering is, actually, a tough downside. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Social gathering is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Social gathering didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working components of the Social gathering reinforce one another. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Social gathering (ka-ching, however not completely) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence neighborhood.

Word, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

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Republican Funhouse

“The Energy Latent in a Countercultural Proper” [The Upheaval]. “[T]he youth of at this time, bombarded 24/7 as they’re with an official ideological Message that’s suffocatingly all-pervasive and repeated with a rhythm as refined as a jack-hammer, and discovering themselves misplaced with an unfulfilled human craving for normality and fact in a society saturated with thermobaric ranges of gaslighting, simply may do the pure factor and insurgent. And in the event that they do, they’re more likely to insurgent in the one course they now can: by changing into extra traditionalist and conservative. Far out, I do know!” • This argument periodically pops up. Hasn’t occurred but. Possibly if the Republicans might broaden their concept of what’s conventional to incorporate unions? They appear fairly fashionable amongst younger of us nowadays.

Realignment and Legitimacy

“Wounded Metropolis” [Philadelphia Inquirer]. “To seize only a glimpse of the summer season’s epidemic and doc its unrelenting toll, Inquirer journalists in early August visited the scene of each taking pictures throughout a single weekend in practically real-time. Within the weeks that adopted, they attended funerals, spoke with survivors as they sought to heal, visited with neighbors afraid to go away their houses, and tried to grasp why the shootings occurred. Their reporting presents a microcosm of the violence many Philadelphians endure each single day, and what’s driving it: folks utilizing weapons to resolve trivial disagreements; just one in 4 shootings leading to fees; unsolved shootings festering and resulting in threats of retaliation; neighborhood teams beefing over social media; and untold grieving households and taking pictures survivors dealing with searing trauma within the aftermath. And but that weekend’s gun violence was cruelly common.” And: “‘In a majority of shootings, folks know who did it,’ Capt. John Walker, head of the Police Division’s nonfatal taking pictures unit, would later clarify. ‘They’ll enable themselves to digest it a bit first, after which determine what approach they’re going to go: are they going to let legislation enforcement deal with it, the streets deal with it, or deal with it themselves?’ More and more, folks go for the latter two. Whereas the Police Division doesn’t compile knowledge on the motives behind nonfatal shootings, practically 20% of homicides final yr have been retaliatory, decided to be motivated by revenge towards somebody for a previous assault or insult, or an assault towards a rival group over a perceived beef. This motive noticed a 145% leap over the yr earlier than, in accordance with police statistics.” • Heading towards Cormac McCarthy territory. Very unhappy, as a result of Philly is an excellent metropolis.

“Suspect free after admitting he mowed down ‘Republican’ teen over politics” [New York Post]. “‘Brandt admitted to putting the pedestrian together with his automotive as a result of he had a political argument with the pedestrian and believed the pedestrian was calling folks to come back get him,’ the courtroom doc continues. “Brandt admitted to leaving the scene of the incident and returning shortly after the place he referred to as 911.’” • North Dakota.

#COVID19

• “‘Can’t work at a desk’: What it’s wish to be out of labor with Lengthy COVID” [Yahoo News]. • Helpful map:

Yikes.

• ”Pulmonary Dysfunction after Pediatric COVID-19″ [Radiology]. n=54. “Between August and December 2021, a cross-sectional, potential medical trial utilizing low-field MRI was carried out in youngsters and adolescents from a single tutorial medical heart. The first end result was the frequency of morphologic adjustments on MRI. Secondary outcomes included MRI-derived useful proton air flow and perfusion parameters…. Low-field MRI confirmed persistent pulmonary dysfunction in each youngsters and adolescents recovered from COVID-19 and with lengthy COVID.”

* * *

• Maskstravganza: Particular hat tip to Joe Biden for destroying the home masks business:

• Maskstravaganza: Educating alternative:


* * *

• One other instructing alternative:

• “Effectiveness of HEPA Filters at Eradicating Infectious SARS-CoV-2 from the Air” [American Society for Epidemiology]. “Air filtration simulation experiments quantitatively confirmed that an air cleaner outfitted with a HEPA filter can constantly take away SARS-CoV-2 from the air. The seize ratios for SARS-CoV-2 within the air when the air cleaner was outfitted with an antiviral-agent-coated HEPA filter have been corresponding to these with the standard HEPA filter, and there was little impact on SARS-CoV-2 within the air that handed by way of the antiviral-reagent-coated HEPA filter.” • Quite a lot of pushback on the thread for this examine from Hospital An infection Management neighborhood, who’re insisting on an RCT, the counter-argument being that that is engineering, the legal guidelines of physics, therefore no RCTs are required. We don’t check parachutes the place half the themes get placebos, will we?

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Case Depend

Case rely for america:

Instances are undercounted, one supply saying by an element of six, Gottlieb considering we solely choose up one in seven or eight.) Therefore, I take the nominal case rely and multiply it by six to approximate the actual degree of instances, and draw the DNC-blue “Biden Line” at that time. The earlier rely was ~60,500. In the present day, it’s ~59,200 and 59,200 * 6 = a Biden line at 355,200. (Keep in mind these knowledge factors are weekly averages, so every day fluctuations are smoothed out.) The black “Fauci Line” is a counter to triumphalism, because it compares present ranges to previous crises. In case you have a look at the Fauci line, you will notice that regardless of the bleating and yammering about Covid being “over,” we now have solely only recently reached the (nominal) case degree of November 1, 2021, and we’re very removed from that of July 1, 2021. And the actual degree is far worse.

Lambert right here: The autumn in case rely seems to be spectacular sufficient. What the Fauci Line reveals, nonetheless, is that we now have ultimately achieved the extent of the preliminary peak, when New York was storing the our bodies in fridge vans. So the endzone celebrations are, to my thoughts, untimely. Not that anybody will throw a flag. After all, the actual story is within the charts for California and the South. See beneath.

Regional case rely for 4 weeks:

The South:

The South (minus Texas and Florida):

I ought to in all probability give the South (minus Texas and Florida) a shoutout for the regular lower. Encouraging!

The West:

California on a excessive plateau all of its personal. A sudden leap, after which no doubling habits? What’s up with that?

Wastewater

Wastewater knowledge (CDC), September 18:

Lambert right here: I added all of the dots again in. The variety of gray dots actually considerations me. How can all of the websites for worldwide air journey heart New York be gray (“no current knowledge”). And California’s fairly gappy, too.

For grins, September 13:

NOTE Lastly obtained the web page to load. I needed to flip off my VPN. Thanks for the safety breach, CDC.

Positivity

From the Walgreen’s check positivity tracker, September 22:

-2.2%. Excellent news!

Transmission

NOTE: I shall most actually not be utilizing the CDC’s new “Neighborhood Degree” metric. As a result of CDC has mixed a number one indicator (instances) with a lagging one (hospitalization) their new metric is a poor warning signal of a surge, and a poor method to assess private threat. As well as, Covid is a illness you don’t wish to get. Even if you’re not hospitalized, you’ll be able to endure from Lengthy Covid, vascular points, and neurological points. For these causes, case counts — identified to be underestimated, attributable to residence check kits — deserve to face alone as a quantity to be tracked, regardless of how a lot the political operatives in CDC management wish to obfuscate it. That the “inexperienced map” (which Topol calls a “capitulation” and a “deception”) continues to be up and being taken critically verges on the felony. Use the neighborhood transmission instantly beneath.

Right here is CDC’s interactive map by county set to neighborhood transmission. (That is the map CDC needs solely hospitals to take a look at, not you.)

NOT UPDATED Fast Riser knowledge, by county (CDC), September 20:

I suppose that if case counts are certainly degree, it’s probably there can be few fast risers.

Earlier Fast Riser knowledge:

NOT UPDATED Hospitalization knowledge, by state (CDC), September 20:

If I had been fooled by CDC’s “Neighborhood Ranges” okey-dokey, I’d be fairly blissful proper now.

NOTE: Fast Riser and Hospitalization knowledge are up to date Wednesdays and Fridays.

Variants

Lambert right here: It’s past irritating how gradual the variant knowledge is. I seemed for extra charts: California doesn’t to a BA.4/BA.5 breakdown. New York does however it, too, is on a molasses-like two-week cycle. Does no person within the public well being institution get a promotion for monitoring variants? Are there no grants? Is there a single lab that does this work, and all people will get the outcomes from them? Extra sources from readers welcome [grinds teeth, bangs head on desk].

NOT UPDATED Variant knowledge, nationwide (Walgreens), September 10:

Nonetheless no signal of BA.2.75 at Walgreens, regardless of its look in CDC knowledge beneath.

NOT UPDATED Variant knowledge, nationwide (CDC), August 27 (Nowcast off):

Two highlights: BA.4.6 has assumed a barely higher proportion (extra within the NowCast mannequin, which I refuse to make use of). Additionally, first look of BA.2.75. So the place is it, you ask?

The above chart reveals variants nationally. I’ve gone by way of the CDC areas and made a desk. As you’ll be able to see, BA.2.75 is outstanding in Area 2 (New York and New Jersey), adopted by Area 5 (Midwest), and Area 1 (Northeast). Hmm.

Desk 1: CDC Regional BA.2.75 Information, Sorted by % Whole

CDC Area % Whole States in Area
Area 2: 0.8% New Jersey, New York, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands
Area 5: 0.7% Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin
Area 1: 0.7% Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont
Area 3: 0.4% Delaware, District of Columbia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia
Area 4: 0.4% Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee
Area 7: 0.3% lowa, Kansas, Missouri, and Nebraska
Area 6: 0.0% Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas
Area 8: 0.0% Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming
Area 9: 0.0% Arizona, California, Hawaii, Nevada, American Samoa, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands….
Area 10: 0.0% Alaska, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington

Let’s see if BA.2.75 begins doubling.

Deaths

Dying price (Our World in Information):

Lambert right here: Unsure why World in Information modified the colour to purple.

Whole: 1,080,356 – 1,079,206 = 1150 (1150 * 365 = 419,750, which is at this time’s LivingWith™* quantity (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would love, although they will speak themselves into something. Fluctuates fairly a bit, however even the low numbers are unhealthy). I’ve added an anti-triumphalist black Fauci Line.

It’s good that for deaths I’ve a easy, every day chart that simply retains chugging alongside, in contrast to every part else CDC and the White Home are screwing up or letting go darkish, good job.

Stats Watch

Employment Scenario: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of Individuals submitting new claims for unemployment advantages rose by 5 thousand to 213,000 within the week that ended September seventeenth, beneath market expectations of 218,000. It marked a slight enhance from the earlier week’s downwardly revised worth, which was the bottom since Might, nonetheless pointing to a decent labor market.”

Manufacturing: “United States Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Kansas Metropolis Fed’s Manufacturing Manufacturing Index recovered to 2 in September 2022 from -9 within the prior month. Nonetheless, manufacturing facility progress remained downbeat, led by decreased exercise at sturdy items vegetation, primarily electrical, furnishings, nonmetallic mineral, major steel, fabricated steel, and transportation tools manufacturing.”

* * *

Commodities: “A Nice Copper Squeeze Is Coming for the International Financial system” [Bloomberg]. “The worth of copper — utilized in every part from laptop chips and toasters to energy programs and air conditioners — has fallen by practically a 3rd since March. Traders are promoting on fears {that a} world recession will stunt demand for a steel that’s synonymous with progress and growth. You wouldn’t realize it from trying on the market at this time, however a few of the largest miners and metals merchants are warning that in simply a few years’ time, an enormous shortfall will emerge for the world’s most important steel — one that would itself maintain again world progress, stoke inflation by elevating manufacturing prices and throw world local weather objectives astray. The current downturn and the under-investment that ensues solely threatens to make it worse…. Inventories tracked by buying and selling exchanges are close to historic lows. And the newest worth volatility implies that new mine output — already projected to start out really fizzling out in 2024 — might change into even tighter within the close to future.”

The Bezzle: “Google co-founder’s flying automotive startup is winding down” [CNBC]. • We have been presupposed to have flying vehicles by now. What’s up with that?

The Bezzle: “Meta Sued for Skirting Apple Privateness Guidelines to Listen in on Customers” [Bloomberg]. “Meta Platforms Inc. was sued for allegedly constructing a secret work-around to safeguards that Apple Inc. launched final yr to guard iPhone customers from having their web exercise tracked. In a proposed class-action criticism filed Wednesday in San Francisco federal courtroom, two Fb customers accused the corporate of skirting Apple’s 2021 privateness guidelines and violating state and federal legal guidelines limiting the unauthorized assortment of private knowledge. The same criticism was filed in the identical courtroom final week. The fits are based mostly on a report by knowledge privateness researcher Felix Krause, who mentioned that Meta’s Fb and Instagram apps for Apple’s iOS inject JavaScript code onto web sites visited by customers. Krause mentioned the code allowed the apps to trace ‘something you do on any web site,’ together with typing passwords.” • These crooks simply can’t assist themselves, can they?

Tech: “iPhone 14 iFixit teardown reveals Apple’s studying on repairs” [The Register]. The deck: “Or was pressured right into a rethink by laws.”The iPhone 14 harbors a secret that’s a fairly large deal: The internals have been redesigned to make it extra repairable, says iFixit. Gone is an extreme use of glue and solder, iFixit CEO Kyle Wiens mentioned in his iPhone 14 teardown report. As an alternative, Wiens mentioned, the iPhone 14 includes a butterfly-style design with a pop-off display and again plate that may be eliminated with nothing however a single pair of screws, as you’ll be able to see beneath. Wiens mentioned the iPhone 14’s design is a ‘dramatic rethinking’ of Apple’s flagship gadget that indicators right-to-repair advocates have received one more victory towards Apple, a long-standing opponent of the self-repair motion. However the legislative tide is popping and Apple sees which approach the wind is blowing.” • See NC on proper to restore right here.

Tech: “Google loses EU attraction and is fined a file $4 billion” [Axios]. “Google suffered a major loss Wednesday when a European courtroom denied its attraction of an antitrust choice and issued a advantageous of 4.1 billion euro ($4.13 billion), a file penalty. Google had challenged an earlier EU ruling that mentioned it used its Android cellular working system to stymie rivals, however Europe’s second-highest courtroom upheld it. The hefty advantageous and ruling is a win for prime EU antitrust official Margrethe Vestager, who has aggressively prosecuted Huge Tech firms, and will set a precedent for future European antitrust rulings protecting tech giants.” • Why the small advantageous?

The Financial system: “Christian Stitching’s keynote on the Handelsblatt Banken Summit 2022” [Deutsche Bank]. Stitching is CEO of Deutsche.

I’m delighted to be with you at this time at a time that is more difficult than something I’ve skilled in additional than 30 years of banking. Whereas the Covid pandemic proved to be a short lived shock to the world economic system, Russia’s conflict towards Ukraine has destroyed a variety of certainties on which we constructed our financial system over the previous many years.

– The brakes have been utilized to globalisation and, within the face of main geopolitical tensions, it’s unlikely to choose up its outdated momentum any time quickly.

– In consequence, many seemingly good world worth and provide chains have been disrupted.

– The workforce, which for a very long time was regarded as out there with out restrict, has change into a bottleneck issue worldwide.

– On the identical time, electrical energy and gasoline have change into scarce and very costly. Vitality is ready to remain an costly commodity in Europe for a while. This represents a structural aggressive downside and it’s a risk to our economic system. In the long run, we might want to reply with structural options.

– These factors are crucial causes for hovering inflation. In consequence, we’ll not be capable to avert a recession in Germany.

And:

[W]e have been beneath the phantasm for the previous 30 years that we might stay without end in an ever extra globalised world with no main conflicts and with regular progress. Francis Fukuyama has usually been criticised for equating the tip of the Chilly Struggle with the “finish of historical past”. However de facto we acted as if this thesis was right; we now have been performing as if the world was on its method to changing into one huge village the place everyone seems to be fascinated by financial cooperation as a result of, in any case, everybody advantages from it. That has stopped being the case for a while now, although.

After all, this is Deutsche. However, attention-grabbing studying.

* * *

In the present day’s Concern & Greed Index: 29 Concern (earlier shut: 30 Concern) [CNN]. One week in the past: 40 (Concern). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 22 at 1:11 PM EDT.

The Gallery

Summer season enjoyable:

Seaside enjoyable:

Sure, the title says nothing concerning the seaside, however all people’s a comic, so….

Zeitgeist Watch

“Fb Confirmed to Negatively Affect Psychological Well being” (press launch) [Tel Aviv University]. “The examine was based mostly on knowledge that dates again to the 2004 creation of Fb at Harvard College, earlier than it took the web by storm. Fb was initially accessible solely to Harvard college students who had a Harvard e mail deal with. Shortly spreading to different schools in and outdoors the US, the community was made out there to most people within the US and past in September 2006. The researchers have been in a position to analyze the impression of social media use by evaluating schools that had entry to the platform to high schools that didn’t. The findings present an increase within the variety of college students reporting extreme despair and anxiousness (7% and 20% respectively). …. The examine mixed data from two completely different datasets: the precise dates on which Fb was launched at 775 American schools, and the Nationwide School Well being Evaluation (NCHA), a survey carried out periodically at American schools…. the methodology additionally thought-about any variations in psychological well being over time or throughout schools that weren’t associated to Fb. This strategy enabled situations much like these of a ‘pure experiment,’ which might be unimaginable at this time now that billions of individuals around the globe use many various social networks.”

“How Gaslighting Manipulates Actuality” [Scientfic American]. “Our process as sociologists is to observe the elusive, topsy-turvy methods by which social domination operates. We should observe what sociologist Avery Gordon calls the “spells of energy” and the way in which patterns of noncredibility are established. By taking gaslighting critically, we will study concerning the relation between macro-level inequalities and the “micro” types of silencing and disempowerment that individuals expertise of their on a regular basis lives.” And: “After conducting 122 interviews over six months and analyzing the patterns that make up this type of abuse, I grew to become most intrigued by the social contexts the place we discover gaslighting, and its relation to inequalities round gender, sexuality, class, potential and race. Unsurprisingly, gaslighting doesn’t contain simply one in every of these axes of id—moderately folks expertise gaslighting intersectionally [of course!], that means that elements equivalent to age, race, gender and sexuality all matter for the way in which folks’s realities are distorted, questioned or denied. Primarily based on my pattern, there seem like 4 central relationships or contexts by which gaslighting usually happens: home violence; intimate companions who usually are not in any other case abusive; mother and father and different members of the family; and institutional gaslighting, primarily within the office.” • In my opinion, the time period “gaslighting” was invented within the blogosphere in 2003 – 2006, and utilized to Iraq WMDs and Bush Administration propaganda typically*; I keep in mind discovering the film poster for the 1944 movie and placing it in my weblog. Nothing to do with “intersectionality” in any respect; simple indictment of an more and more sick political scenario. However grifters gotta grift. NOTE * Presumably to DHS Secretary Tom Ridge’s ludicrous color-coded system of terror alerts; it’s been a very long time, and there’s been a variety of hyperlink rot.

Groves of Academe

“Quantifying hierarchy and dynamics in US school hiring and retention” [Nature]. “Status performs a central function in structuring the US professoriate. Analyses of college hiring networks, which map who hires whose graduates as school, present unambiguously in a number of fields that prestigious departments provide an outsized proportion of college, no matter whether or not status is measured by an extrinsic rating or status scheme or derived from the construction of the college hiring community itself. Prestigious departments additionally exhibit ‘social closure’ by excluding those that lack status, facilitated by comparatively steady hierarchies over time, each empirically and in mathematical fashions of self-reinforcing community dynamics.”

Class Warfare

“Residence Depot staff petition to type 1st store-wide union” [ABC]. “Residence Depot staff in Philadelphia have filed a petition with the federal labor board to type what might be the primary store-wide union on the world’s largest residence enchancment retailer. The petition, filed with the Nationwide Labor Relations Board this week, seeks to type a collective bargaining unit for 274 workers who work in merchandising, specialty and operations. The federal company’s database reveals no different makes an attempt to type a store-wide union on the firm, although a bunch of Residence Depot drivers efficiently unionized with the Worldwide Brotherhood of Teamsters in 2019.” • Not all of the information from Philly is unhealthy.

“Airline’s Pitch to Aspiring Pilots: Fly Our Planes Now, Work for Us Later” [Wall Street Journal]. “Regional airline firm Mesa Air Group Inc. MESA -0.78%▼ is providing a brand new approach for pilots who’ve gone by way of preliminary coaching to construct up the tons of of extra flying hours they should qualify for airline jobs. The airline, which flies for United Airways Holdings Inc., American Airways Group Inc. and cargo provider DHL Categorical, mentioned Thursday that it acquired 29 small two-seat planes with choices to purchase as many as 75 extra over the following yr. It plans to increase pilots interest-free loans to fly these planes round till they’ve gathered the hours they should work at Mesa. ‘I actually imagine this may crack open the nut by way of all these pilots on the market making an attempt to construct time,’ Jonathan Ornstein, Mesa’s chief govt, mentioned in an interview.” • Extra debt? Actually? Why not simply give the hours away?

Information of the Wired

Haiti, forward of the curve, as traditional (guurst):


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Contact data for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are advantageous! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you’d like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From PH:

PH writers: “To proceed with the sunflower theme, it is a pic I took just a few years in the past in my backyard on the crest of the Cascade Vary in South Central Washington. There may be one in every of my honeybees and a few native bees. A pleasant Fibonacci lure to attract them in.”

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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So when you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible type. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get fearful. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:

Right here is the display that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:

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